Home arrow Features arrow Election 2008 arrow West Virginia arrow Obama Clinton West Virginia Primary Analysis: Rockefeller Rahall
Saturday, September 04, 2010
Obama Clinton West Virginia Primary Analysis: Rockefeller Rahall Print E-mail
Written by Lady Anker   
Wednesday, April 30, 2008

 

West Virginia Primary Macro Analysis:

Moderate Voters

West Virginia might be considered moderate as evidenced by the electorate choosing George W. Bush over Al Gore by 6.33% in 2000 and Bush over John Kerry by 12.82% in 2004, having two moderate Democratic US Senators, and with a quarter of the voters citing "Moral Values" as the most important issue according to 2004 election exit polls.

Independents Given a Voice

The Mountain State has 665,234 (56.21%) registered Democrats and 156,199 (13.20%) unaffiliated voters. For the first time in history, The West Virginia Democratic Party is allowing unaffiliated voters to vote in their party's primary. Whites makeup 95.99% of the population and African Americans consist of 3.56% of the total according to the 2005 census.

Primary Day: May 13

The primaries will be held on May 13, 2008. Polls will open at 6:30 am and close at 7:30 pm E.T. Between April 23 and May 10, the state offers in-person early voting.

Democratic Delegates

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will compete for 28 pledged delegates in West Virginia. The state also has 10 Superdelegates, with half not currently endorsing either candidate

Clinton leads the Superdelegate count with 3 compared to Barack Obama's 2.

The Democratic Governor, Joe Manchin, and the Senior Senator, Robert Byrd, have no plans to endorse either candidate until after the primary.

Sparse Data, Clinton Ahead, Rockefeller-Rahall Factor

West Virginia polling is minimal. However, the most recent, conducted on March 3, shows Clinton ahead by 28 points increasing her margin by 7 from a February survey.

Obama has two powerful assets, Senator Jay Rockefeller and US Representative Nick Rahall, that could be used to sway voters to the Illinois Senator's side.

Related Links:

Register Herald:
Herald Mail, April 26, 2008:

Read More For Full Analysis

We invite anyone with news or event info to post them in the comment section.

Past Elections

Past Elections Results

North Carolina Results for the 2000 Presidential Election:

George W. Bush - 51.92%; 336,475 Votes
Al Gore - 45.59% 294,497 Votes
Bush Margin of Victory 6.33

North Carolina Results for the 2004 Presidential Election:

George W. Bush - 56.02%; 423,778 Votes
John Kerry - 43.20%; 326,541 Votes
Bush Margin of Victory 12.82

Exit Poll Information

Exit poll for the 2004 election found "Moral Values" to be the most important issue registering at 25% and "Economy/Jobs" second at 21%, according to CNN.

Related Links:

FEC:
FEC:
CNN:

State Government

State Government

Governor

Joe Manchin(Democrat) Elected 2004

U.S. Senators

Robert Byrd (Democrat) Elected in 2002
Jay Rockefeller (Democrat) Elected in 2004

U.S. Representatives

3 Total, 1 Republicans, 2 Democrats

(D-WV1) Allan Mollohan
(R-WV2) Shelly Moore Capito
(D-WV3) Nick Rahall

Superdelegates

Superdelegates

10 TOTAL

Endorsed Clinton:

Pat Maroney - West Virginia Democratic National Committeeman
Marie Prezioso - DNC Committeewoman
Belinda Biafore - State Democratic Vice Chairwoman

Endorsed Obama

US Senator Jay Rockefeller
US Representative Nick Rahall

Undecided

Governor Joe Manchin
US Senator Robert Byrd
US Representative Alan Mollohan
Alice Germond - Secretary of the DNC
Nick Casey Jr. - West Virginia Democratic Party Chair

Related Links:

WSAZ, March 19, 2008:
West Virginia Gazette, March 20, 2008:
Superdelegates.org:

Voter Stats

Voter Stats

REGISTRATION NUMBERS AS OF APRIL 26

TOTAL DEMOCRAT: 665,234 (56.21%)
TOTAL REPUBLICAN: 347,730 (29.38%)
UNAFFILIATED: 156,199 (13.20%)
TOTAL REGISTERED 1,183,495

Related Links:

Voting Process

Voting Process

West Virginia offers early voting absentee ballots with no excuses necessary for those who want to avoid the rush during Election Day. Those who are confident in their Presidential pick have until Saturday, May 10 to take advantage of this option.

May 7, 2008 is the last day to request a mail-in absentee ballot.

Those who have already requested a mail in absentee ballot must send their ballot in to be received by closing on May 12th in order to be counted.

For those planning to vote on Primary Election Day on May 13, polls open at 6:30 am and close at 7:30 pm.

Related Links:

West Virginia Secretary of State:
Register Herald:

Polls

Poll Data

West Virginia - Polls February 2 - March 13
Poll Source Dates of Polls Hillary Clinton Barack Obama Margin of Lead Lead Change from last poll
Mark Blankenship Enterprises February 20, 2008 43% 22% 21 -
Rasmussen Reports March 3, 2008 55% 27% 28 7

Rasmussen Reports:
Mark Blankenship:

WV Camp. HQs

West Virginia Campaign Headquarters

Hillary Clinton

hillaryclinton.com:

West Virginia State Headquarters
191 Summers Street
Charleston, WV 25301
Phone: (304) 346-1913
Email: This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

Beckley Office
207 Prince Street
Beckley, WV 25801
Phone: (304) 252-7740
This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

Fairmont Office
312 Adams Street
Fairmont, WV 26554
Phone: (304) 367-1830
This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

Barack Obama

barackobama.com:

West Virginia Headquarters
1021 Quarrier Street
Charleston, WV
Call: 304-346-2616

Beckley Office
128 Harper Court
Beckley, WV
Call: 304-377-9448

Wheeling Office
96 14th Street
Wheeling, WV
Call: 304-214-6677

Morgantown Office
433 Beechurst Avenue
Morgantown, WV
Call: 304-904-8012

Clarksburg Office
321 W. Main Street
Clarksburg, WV 26301
Call: 304-377-9434

Huntington Office
801 4th Avenue
Huntington, WV 25701
Call: 304-377-9443

Martinsburg Office
124� S. Queen Street
Martinsburg, WV 25401
Call: 304-377-9439

Parkersburg Office
219 4th Street
Parkersburg, WV 26101
Call: 304-377-9463



Spread The News!
Del.icio.us!Facebook!Technorati!StumbleUpon!Newsvine!Furl!Fark!Yahoo!Ma.gnolia!Free social bookmarking plugins and extensions for Joomla! websites!
Trackback(0)
Comments (0)Add Comment

Write comment
quote
bold
italicize
underline
strike
url
image
quote
quote

security code
Write the displayed characters


busy
Last Updated ( Wednesday, May 07, 2008 )